Posted January 24, 2007

 
Somalia, Ethiopia May Become Another Iraq, Afghanistan If.....
 

By Thomas Kai Toteh
Senior Staff Writer
tnyantk@yahoo.com

If African Leaders or African Union did little or nothing to intervene in the decades-old civil war in Somalia, and stop Ethiopia’s one-sided patrol, the horn of Africa is likely to become another battle ground for the west and Al Qaeda's. 

US military officials had justified the recent attacks on villages in Somalia, saying that Somalia’s lawless state had become a safe haven for Al Qaeda including those responsible for the embassy bombings in Nairobi and Dar-es-Salaam in 1998 and all kinds of terrorist groups. 

Observers believe the recent US aerial attacks are part of its campaign to dislodge the Union of Islamist Courts (ICU) that overran the Somalia’s capital six months ago. Though, Islamist militias are partly disarmed, and are seeking the reintegration of the country, skeptics fear the direct US involvement in the conflict could back fire.  

Shortly after the aerial bombings "the lieutenant of Osama bin Laden, Mr. Ayman Zawahiri, made statements calling on Muslims to come fight in Somalia. Somalia, though is a new front opened to Islamist jihad, open US onslaught could invite hundreds, if not thousands of militants from around the world to East Africa.   

Mr. Ayman Zawahiri’s call can not be taken for granted. He and his boss, Osama bin Laden are always answered when the call.  

 But observers believe that Islamic militants will thaw out away now, but will sooner or later form an insurgency as they have in Afghanistan and Iraq.  

The target will be not only Somalia, but Ethiopia, and the entire region may turn out to be another Iraq and Afghanistan. 

Pushing Somalia's Islamists out of power in Mogadishu took less than two weeks for Somali government and Ethiopian forces. 

 Keeping them out and keeping the peace in the midst of what some say is becoming an Iraq-style insurgency, could be a much more difficult job.  

The African Union has approved a plan to send nine battalions of African peacekeeping troops to Somalia to help stabilize the country.  

This is a worthy cause that needs urgent attention and support from the international community if that region should survive the present threat of full-fledged war between the US and her allies and jihad militants. This is a very dangerous situation for not only Somalia and Ethiopia, but the entire region.  

 

 

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